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Drafting In The New Century
Given enough time, trends can be found ...

In preparation for the 2010 draft, it occurred to me that I had limited resources for the comparison of one draft to another. To compensate for my lack of experience, I started to develop a spreadsheet that would statistically compare draft classes.

Using the formula for rating players that is given on the Rookies page of FAQ, I compared all the players from the draft classes of 2100 to 2110; however, it occurred to me that it’s useless to compare the entire draft class of each position, as the majority of players never get drafted at all.

Todd Ricotta provided me with the data of how many of each position was drafted from that draft until now. Using that information, I devised that the average number of players that are drafted in each position. By comparing the same number of top players from each position in each draft, I could determine the relative strength of each year’s draft.

Note that these comparisons only deal on a rookie ratings level. While history has shown some highly touted players to be busts, this statistical analysis doesn’t take that into account. It merely looks at raw rookie data.

Without further ado, here is a list of the results that notes the top players of that year’s positional draft pool.

AVERAGE NUMBER OF PLAYERS DRAFTED PER POSITION EACH YEAR
QB RB WR TE OL K/P DL LB DB
5 7 7 3 14 2 13 11 10

TOP QUARTERBACK DRAFTS

1. 2101
2. 2107
3. 2106
Monte Owen, Darren Lockwood, Morgan Capper
Virgil Chun, Hiram Mitchell, Trent Copeland
Rhett Pankey, Dwight Grant, Randal Darling
   
TOP RUNNING BACK DRAFTS
1. 2107
2. 2100
3. 2104
Pierce Cunningham, Brian Lyles, Gary Proehl
Mel Carrier, Roger Kafford, Alden Doolittle
John Stams, Keven Warrick, Raphael Smith
   
TOP WIDE RECEIVER DRAFTS
1. 2103
2. 2106
3. 2110
Seymore Smith, Keith Fryar, Bill Trudeau
Les Inch, Bobby Linville, Harper Shove
Jacob Simpkins, Alan Casillas, Blair Gilmore
   
TOP TIGHT END DRAFTS
1. 2104
2. 2107
3. 2105
Ken Maxiner, Brent Carruthers
Don Grossman, Cy Chaffey
Xavier Debat, Rieckey Westfall
   
TOP OFFENSIVE LINE DRAFTS
1. 2107
2. 2101
3. 2105
Raleigh Kloak, Bruce Parrish, Sean Blackmore
Brian Murphy, Juan Eugene, Harlan Williams
Cooper Highsmith, Kimball Tasker, Duff Johnson
   
TOP KICKER/PUNTER DRAFTS
1. 2109
2. 2110
3. 2108
John Joyner, Rico Wright
Ron Sandstrom
Hugh Brenna, Mark Darby
   
TOP DEFENSIVE LINE DRAFTS
1. 2104
2. 2105
3. 2107
Edward Rogers, Rod Fullington, Broderick Ostermar
Curtis Riccio, John Knopf, Bruce Orr
Gary Sims, Rafferty Arnold, Garth Millard
   
TOP LINEBACKER DRAFTS
1. 2104
2. 2102
3. 2100
Erik VanderPoel, Mike Faulk, Mike Bell
Rick Gay, David Stewart, Jeremy Whitney
Darrin Langfield, John Farlow, Winston Barker
   
TOP DEFENSIVE BACK DRAFTS
1. 2110
2. 2108
3. 2101
Mark Moxley, Rice Taylor, Dick Kennedy
Ashley Barger, Tony Kneen, Ken Green
Remington Omlid, Travis Gentle, Mark Toner
   
TOP DRAFT CLASSES OVERALL
1. 2107
2. 2104
3. 2105
4. 2109
5. 2101
6. 2110
It isn't even close. This draft rocked.
Bolstered by defensive line and tight ends.
Both lines hallmarked this draft.
An anomaly - the kickers boosted this draft class.
The ultimate quarterback draft.
Smack dab in the middle of the past eleven drafts.

Article contributed by Mark Thul, AGM New England Patriots